
节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:6/10
周二(2月3日),国内外铜价经连续深度回调后显著反弹。LME三个月期铜大涨逾4%重返13400美元/吨上方,上期所沪铜主力合约涨2.60%报104500元/吨。反弹修正前期历史高位回落部分跌幅,市场在供应担忧与长期需求前景支撑下寻求新平衡点。
近期铜价剧烈波动,上周五起“硬修正”,沪铜自114160元高位最大回落13.65%,LME铜价从14527.50美元下跌超14%。回调主因包括多头获利了结、宏观情绪短期波动;周二贵金属同步回升提振金属市场情绪,核心基本面逻辑未根本性转变。
供应端扰动持续支撑市场,矿山生产中断及美国关税言论引发区域贸易流紊乱风险,供应隐忧仍存;需求侧长期逻辑稳固,铜在全球能源转型、电气化、AI数据中心建设中核心角色奠定长期需求向好基础。分析师指出短期波动或持续,宏观稳定后回调或吸引新买盘。
中国市场是关键观察点,春节临近市场活动趋淡,但价格下跌刺激实际需求释放,部分制造商趁回调入场采购补...
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