节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:10/10


印尼作为全球最大生产国,2026年可能减产三分之一,以防止镍价进一步下跌。上海金属市场(SMM)周三援引印尼镍矿商协会(APNI)消息称,印尼政府在2026年工作计划和预算中提议,将镍产量从今年总产量削减34%至2500万吨。APNI秘书长Meidy Katrin Lengkey周二表示,这是政府层面的计划,最终实施细节尚未明确。

麦格理指出,印尼此举可能使全球镍供应减少35%。印尼的产量控制措施源于镍品位下降,加拿大镍业(TSXV: CNC)首席执行官Mark Selby本月在伦敦举行的北方矿业者国际金属研讨会上透露。他称:“印尼将给市场一记推力。因矿石品位和化学成分下降,印尼从菲律宾进口矿石——这相当于沙特从伊朗或伊拉克进口石油。这种供应并非无限,印尼将利用这一窗口,推动镍价回升至每吨1.8万至2万美元区间。”

过去一年镍价下跌约7%至每吨14376美元。此前2022年3月俄乌冲突后,镍价曾飙至每吨48078美元,随后回落,2024年5月再次升至约21615美元,之后又下跌...

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