位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:4/10


周四美股大跌前夜,金银价格同步跳水。美盘时段,现货黄金30分钟内跌近200美元,跌幅一度逼近4%,跌破4900美元/盎司;现货白银表现更剧烈,直线跳水超10%,价格从约83美元/盎司跌至75美元,创2026年以来单日跌幅纪录之一。期货端,COMEX黄金期货收跌3.08%报4941.4美元/盎司,COMEX白银期货收跌10.62%报75.01美元/盎司。

分析师指出,金银暴跌核心驱动为美国就业数据超预期,大幅压制美联储降息预期。周三公布的1月非农就业新增13万人,远超预期7万人;失业率从4.4%降至4.3%。周四劳工部数据显示,截至2月7日当周首次申请失业救济人数下降5000人至22.7万人,仅略高于预期。强劲劳动力市场降低美联储降息紧迫性,黄金无利息属性使其在高利率环境下承压。

非农前市场预期3月降息25BP概率约20%,芝商所FedWatch工具显示,非农后该概率骤降至8%。同时,美国国债收益率上行、美元走强构成双重压力——美元指数反弹至97,以美元计价的贵金属对全球买家更昂贵。

部分抛售源于获利了结,因...

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