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集运市场运价走势与成因分析

近期，集运市场淡旺季节奏被打乱，市场格局发生显著变化。美线运价已连续两月持续走弱，欧洲航线运价同样呈现下行态势。中信期货首席研究员武嘉璐指出，美线运价因已逼近平常年份水平，跌幅将放缓；而欧线本周跌幅加速，预计8月欧美线现货运价或仍处于回落趋势。

浙江一美线货代人士称，其公司美线货量7月初虽环比有小幅增长，但持续时间短暂，7月底8月初货量便回落。这一现象与今年5月底至6月的“抢运潮”相关。

从运价表现来看，现货运价方面，极羽科技数据显示，截至8月8日，美线（上海至洛杉矶/长滩）最低报价船司赫伯罗特，8月开航航次运费为1598美元/FEU，较上周下降3%，与7月1日2148美元/FEU的最低报价相比，降幅明显。欧线运费报价环比也回落，最低报价从2900美元/FEU降至2535美元/FEU 。

运价指数方面，宁波航运交易所NCFI指数显示，美东航线运价指数为980.7点，较上周下跌4.4%；美西航线运价指数为1042.9点，较上周下跌6.4%...

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