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旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利（Mary Daly）近期发表观点，鉴于诸多迹象显示美国就业市场逐渐走软，且关税并未引发持续性通胀，她认为降息时机正逐步临近。
上周，美联储连续第五次会议维持联邦基金利率目标区间在4.25%至4.50%不变。戴利称原本愿再等一周期，可如今已无法无休止等待。她强调，虽不意味着9月必定降息，但自当下起，每次会议她都视作可能调整政策的“即时决策”会议。
美联储6月公布的利率预测“点阵图”表明，19位政策制定者对2024年末利率预期的中位数处于3.75%至4.00%，意味着到年底将在当前基础上累计降息50个基点。戴利认为这一预期“目前看仍是合适的政策校准”，且强调降息时间点颇为关键，实现两次降息的路径存在多种组合。
戴利表示，9月货币政策会议前，还会有劳动力市场和通胀等关键数据发布，她持开放态度。若通胀反弹Ź..
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