节点：铁矿石位置：上游情绪：利空参考度：4/10


第25周钢市情况如下：期货黑色系方向趋势不明，日内波动洗盘，资金离场。原料端焦煤未冲800关口，铁矿石09合约资金撤离；成材端热卷价格重心上移，螺纹持仓减仓回落。现货市场焦炭传第4轮提降，铁矿石震荡下跌，废钢价格上移，铁水成本创新低；成材端小幅波动，方坯、热卷坚挺，螺纹稍弱，钢厂利润创新高，铁水产量转增。

铁水方面，本周税前成本均价2025元/吨，环比降14元/吨，成本再破新低。日均产量242.18万吨，环比增0.57万吨，结束5连降，高炉开工率83.82%，环比升0.41% ，产量整体维持高位波动。

钢坯成本均价2733元/吨，环比降15元/吨；出厂均价2915元/吨，环比升13元/吨，盘面利润创新高。日均外卖4.59万吨，环比增2.45万吨，总库存119.98万吨，环比增0.9万吨，方坯出口火热推动外卖量上升。

螺纹现货均价3055元/吨，环比降3元/吨；期螺主力合约收盘均价2987元/吨，环比升10元/吨，基差升水...

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