节点：炼铁/粗钢位置：中游情绪：利好参考度：4/10


环保巡视结束盘面下杀 钢价现状 后续是否持续下ū00;成材现货市场淡季特征显著，原料端需求虽有韧性，但供需结构未实质转变。上周五夜盘钢材期货主力冲高回落，今日震荡波动，螺纹及热卷收长上影十字星线，突破未确认。多个城市如上海、杭州等市场螺纹钢价格上涨10 – 50元/吨。

宏观层面，央行货币政策委员会建议加大货币政策调控强度，水利部对重庆等地启动洪水防御Ⅳ级应急响应，美国5月核心PCE物价指数同比增长2.68%，高于预期。

产业方面，6月中国制造业PMI为49.7%，较上月升0.2个百分点；6月建筑业商务活动指数、新订单指数分别为52.8%和46.6%，较上月升1.8和0.5个百分点。

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