节点:钢材下游制造位置:下游情绪:中性参考度:2/10


钢坯跌100期螺跌140,狂欢后行情现忧,废钢跌幅几何7月31日,大宗商品市场价格剧烈波动。期螺10收3205,跌140元,跌幅4.19%,当日跌幅创2025年以来最高,最低点距跌停仅差9元。焦煤期货主力合约封死跌停板,下跌90.5元,跌幅7.97% ,近4个交易日第二次跌停,8个交易日内4个涨停2个跌停。

黑色商品波动剧烈,焦煤8天6个板,螺纹钢几近跌停,几天波动超前3个月。唐山迁安地区部分普方坯再降60,累降100,3080含税出厂。建材现货价格大幅下跌,市场价格主流稳中跌10 – 80元/吨,生产企业出厂价格稳中跌10 – 30元/吨,期货下行致市场情绪转弱,出货困难,预计明价弱调。废钢市场大幅回落,四川1天连跌2次,累跌50元。

大宗商品此次大幅下跌,主要受以下因素影响。一是宏观经济数据不及预期,制造业PMI回落,显示制造业景气度下滑,建筑钢材需求预期减弱;建筑业活动收缩,终端需求显著收缩。二是政策预期调整冲击市场情绪,ZZJ会议表述变...

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