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上周,市场情绪降温,碳酸锂期货价格随之回落,重回70000元/吨下方。8月1日,碳酸锂期货主力合约LC2509报收68920元/吨,周度跌幅达5.85%。

业内人士指出,此次碳酸锂期货价格回落,反映出市场情绪与基本面逻辑的切换。此前价格短时间快速上行,是“反内卷”背景下矿端减停产预期拉动。期货价格提前交易供给收缩逻辑,一度突破80000元/吨。但因政策细节未落地,停产比例不及预期,情绪驱动退潮,价格回归供需框架。

从碳酸锂市场自身看,此前“江西矿证”引发供应收缩预期致价格上涨,后续问题澄清,市场情绪回落。从外部因素讲,“反内卷”预期热度消退,相关大宗商品情绪回落。国信期货分析师吴江认为,当前碳酸锂价格回调,是宏观情绪与基本面预期同步回落所致。

碳酸锂价格持续上行后,高价区间现货“有价无市”。虽数据显示截至8月1日现货均价有所上涨,但实际成交有限。头部材料厂采购负责人表示,市场供需格局未改善,高价无持续性,公司采销计划不变,多以观望为主。王美丹指出,现货成交走弱,下游高价接货意愿低,ɘ..

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