位置：中游情绪：利好参考度：4/10
印尼经济事务协调部长于该国央行年度会议上表示，对2026年经济前景持乐观立场。当前多项年末指标显示，经济运行风险已得到有效管控，基本面稳健且增长趋势向好。支撑因素包括五方面：其一为居民消费动能增强，11月Mandiri消费指数（MSI）录得312.8，较10月的297.4显著回升；其二是投资持续扩张，今年前九个月投资落实规模达1434万亿印尼盾，Danantara推动的相关项目将进一步拉动投资增长。
其三为政府支出进度加快，截至11月末，政府及相关机构支出规模达1109万亿印尼盾，其中总统优先项目支出213万...降息125个基点，基准利率降至4.25%，此举有望进一步刺激信贷投放与消费需求释放；其五为通胀水平维持可控，10月同比通胀率为2.86%，处于国家设定的目标区间内，得益于货币政策调控与财政激励措施的协同作用。
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