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社库延续累库 淡季背景下铝价承压运行

在期货市场中，电解铝主力09合约于周一呈现出窄幅偏强震荡态势。该合约开盘价为20460，收盘价达到20525。然而，夜盘阶段平开后，走势转弱。从库存数据来看，沪铝最新社会库存为54.7万吨，相较于上周四，累库2.2万吨。尽管库存延续增长趋势，但整体库存仍处于相对低位水平。

现货市场方面，现货铝锭报价区间为20470 – 20490元/吨，成交均价较周五下跌40元/吨，降至20480元/吨。现货对08合约报价时，贴水较周五走阔10元/吨，达到贴水30元/吨。这一现象背后，是下游行业淡季特征明显，采购行为主要以维持刚需为主。

宏观层面，周五晚间美国公布的非农数据大幅不及预期，...

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