位置：中游情绪：中性参考度：1/10
美联储官员宽松信号反复释放，华尔街对12月降息预期持续波动，野村证券是这一过程的典型代表。今年9月，野村曾预计美联储12月降息；但10月末利率决议发布会上，美联储主席鲍威尔暗示12月降息“并非定局”，野村随即转向预测不降息。近日，多位美联储官员释放鸽派信号，野村再次调整预测，回归华尔街主流观点，认为12月将降息25个基点。
美联储12月降息预期强化。纽约联邦储备银行行长兼FOMC副主席威廉姆斯、旧金山联邦储备银行行长戴利等多位官员发表鸽派言论，进一步加强市场对12月降息的押注。野村策略师在最新报告中指出，对美联储中间派而言，已有足够鸽派信号支撑进一步“风险管理型降息”；不过预计4名鹰派人士反对降息决定，米兰则持鸽派立场，支持降息50个基点。摩根大...
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