节点：下游（终端消费/应用）位置：下游情绪：利空参考度：4/10
当地时间周一，纽约联储公布的消费者预期调查显示，尽管美国民众对未来通胀走势的预期保持稳定，但11月家庭对当前及未来财务状况的看法愈发悲观。调查指出，受访者对当前财务状况的评价“明显恶化”，对未来一年财务状况的展望也“略有下降”。
不过，11月消费者对就业市场的看法有所改善。受访者对未来一年失业率上升的担忧缓解，对未来一年失去工作的预期降至2024年12月以来最低水平；同时，预计主动离职的概率有所下降。
此调查公布之际，美联储即将召开备受关注的货币政策会议。市场预计美联储将于周三下调政策利率25个基点至3.50%–3.75%区间，以支持近期疲态初现的劳动力市场。但因通胀仍显著高于美联储2%的目标，这一 ..降息面临相当程度的内部反对，多数官员认为当前货币政策首要目标应是进一步压低通胀压力。
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