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当地时间周二,日本央行公布6月会议纪要。纪要显示,若日本经济增长与通胀持续契合央行预期,该行将进一步加息。

若贸易摩擦降温则考虑加息
多数日本央行成员支持暂维持利率不变,尤其在美国贸易关税不确定性加剧时。有委员甚至支持无限期维持利率,因其担忧日本经济增长与通胀放缓。
不过,包括行长植田和男在内的多数成员支持最终加息,预期日本经济增长和通胀中期将回升。部分央行官员表示,若美日贸易摩擦降温,央行将考虑恢复加息
一位央行成员称:“鉴于不确定性高,日本央行可能暂暂停加息,但也须灵活应对,依美国政策发展重回加息阶段。”7月底会议,日本央行维持利率不变,同时表明若通胀和经济增长加快,对未来加息持开放态度。
近期,日本与美国..贸易协议,美国原定于8月1日对日本开征的“对等关税”税率从25%下调至15%,汽车关税税率也降至15%,或为日本央行未来加息铺平道路。

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