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华尔街对特朗普移民政策早有警觉,认为其会破坏美国劳动力市场根基。上周五美国劳工统计局下修5月及6月非农数据,或印证这一担忧。
摩根大通首席全球策略师戴维·凯利警告,因美国劳动力面临人口紧缩,且移民政策发生历史性变化,未来五年美国工人数量或不再增长。
上周五美国就业报告令人震惊,5月和6月新增就业岗位下调25.6万个,7月新增仅7.3万个,过去三个月平均月新增仅3.5万个。
凯利报告指出,7月美国失业率升至4.2%,就业人口和劳动参与率下滑。劳动参与率从去年7月62.25%降至今年62.22%,16岁及以上工作或找工作人口减少近120万。
他认为,退休致劳动人口减少占一半原因,18 – 54岁年龄段劳动参与率也在下降,这或是美国深层次人口挑战的体现À..
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