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华尔街对特朗普移民政策早存警惕,认为其会破坏美国劳动力市场根基。上周五美国劳工统计局下修5月及6月非农数据,似证实此担忧。

摩根大通首席全球策略师戴维·凯利警告,因美国劳动力面临人口紧缩,且移民政策发生历史性变化,未来五年美国或不再有工人数量增长。

上周五美国就业报告令人震惊,5月和6月新增就业岗位数量下调25.6万个,7月新增仅7.3万个,过去三个月平均月新增仅3.5万个。

凯利报告指出,7月美国失业率小幅升至4.2%,就业人口和劳动参与率下滑。劳动参与率从去年7月62.25%降至今年62.22%,16岁及以上工作或求职人口减少近120万。

他认为,此结果一半因大量劳动人口退休,18至54岁年龄段人口劳动参与率也下降,这或是美国深层次人口挑战的表现。

凯利引用..

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