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降息预期刺激乐观情绪,铜价反弹关注高位压力
近期,市场受多种宏观与基本面因素影响,铜价走势备受关注。
从宏观层面来看,市场持续消化周五非农就业数据。5、6月新增就业人数大幅下调近90%,7月新增就业人数也远低于前期水平。这一情况引发市场对就业形势恶化的担忧,但同时催生了9月降息预期,部分机构甚至预期年内将降息三次。通常,经济衰退下倒逼降息对风险资产利空,然而,若市场认为经济能软着陆,降息则对风险资产利多。周一美股大涨且维持强势,反映出市场风险情绪较为稳定。
同时,OPEC议产会议决定自9月起大幅增产,致使原油价格回落。特朗普因印度大量购买俄罗斯石油,威胁大幅提高其关税,需关注中美在俄油问题上的博弈。此外,欧盟将反制措施推迟6个月与美国继续谈判汽车关税,瑞士提出妥协方案希望美国降低关税。特朗普的威胁起效,各国被迫退让,关税协议大体按美国意愿推进,消除..
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