节点：中游（冶炼、中间品）位置：中游情绪：利空参考度：4/10
铜价在12月延续强劲上涨态势，受市场对2026年全球供应趋紧的担忧推动，该工业金属价格飙升至每吨12000美元以上的历史新高。今年一系列重大矿山停产事件叠加美国进口关税威胁，促使贸易商将大量金属提前运入美国以规避潜在征税。在此背景下，铜价已累计上涨近40%，有望创下自2009年以来的最大年度涨幅。
周三，伦敦金属交易所（LME）三个月期铜上涨102美元，或0.85%，收报每吨12162.5美元，盘中创历史新高12282美元。某期货公司首席有色金属分析师指出，供应中断、全球流动性预期以及相对稳定的宏观经济增长等因素，加速了年底铜价的飙升。
市场长期担忧的供应风险在今年成为现实。印尼全球第ĺ..
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