节点:上游(原材料/资源端)位置:上游情绪:利空参考度:5/10
2025年全球铁矿石出口格局分化显著。据外媒统计,澳大利亚、巴西依托产量扩容与运营效率优化持续扩量出口,南非出口基本持平,印度则受国内需求升温及市场谨慎情绪拖累,出口量同比骤降约30%,全球铁矿石贸易流向因此出现结构性调整。
澳大利亚2025年铁矿石及球团矿出口量达8.875亿吨,同比增长2.7%;12月单月发运量8650万吨,环比增长17.5%,主因下半年天气转好,矿山在年初气旋影响后集中补发货源。中国为其最大进口市场,日本、韩国紧随其后。Rio Tinto、BHP、Fortescue等头部企业主导出口,Western Range、Iron Bridge、South Flank等新项目投产是发运增量的核心支撑。
巴西2025年铁矿石出口显著回升,全年出口量同比增长12%至4.1479亿吨;12月出口3752万吨,环比增长4.1%。受中国市场需求拉动,巴西矿企年末加大发运力度,叠加Vale等主力矿山高负荷运...
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