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铜价可能表现偏弱 旺季预期限制下方空间

本文聚焦铜价走势，由光大期货发布。综合多方面因素来看，铜价或呈现偏弱态势，但旺季预期将对其下跌空间形成一定限制。

从市场价格表现来看，隔夜LME铜与SHFE铜均有上涨。同时，国内现货进口虽仍处亏损状态，但亏损幅度有所收窄。

宏观层面，市场重点关注美国关税谈判动态。美国一方面对印度商品加征25%额外关税，另一方面与瑞典、日本等国的谈判进展不顺。此外，特朗普将在本周决定美联储新理事，这一举措可能影响美联储下届主席人选，进而对金融市场产生潜在影响。在国内，政策导向以及反内卷预期，依旧是市场交易决策的关键考量因素。

库存方面，LME、Comex、SHF...

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