节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:4/10
铜价短期调整压力显现,长期资源叙事支撑仍存
周一,沪铜主力合约减仓下跌,尾盘跌幅扩大,现货市场成交有限。宏观层面,美联储降息预期及关税政策潜在变化对铜价上涨形成干扰,特朗普拟留任哈塞特的表态令市场宽松货币政策预期降温,对铜价构成利空。
产业端,铜价快速上涨下,现实需求负反馈持续积累。中国电解铜社会库存进入1月后持续累库,当前处于近5年历史同期高位;广东电解铜现货对当月合约转为大贴水,市场情绪低迷,现货需求承压。此外,英伟达修改技术论文下调数据中心铜使用量,促使市场重新审视铜需求Ţ..
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