节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:6/10


中国粗铟生产商报价上调,国际市场铟价同步攀升。鹿特丹金属交易所数据显示,铟价已突破500-600美元/公斤,创十余年新高;国内市场2026年以来铟价从2500元/公斤飙升88%至4700元/公斤,涨幅显著,价格动态引发行业关注。

铟资源禀赋及供应格局:铟为锌伴生资源,主要作为锌冶炼副产品产出,中国是全球铟资源核心供应国,产量占全球70%。招商证券有色金属研究团队指出,过去10年铟年均供应增速仅4%,受锌等上游资源供应增速限制,未来供应增速或进一步换挡下行,供应端约束趋紧。

需求驱动与价格上...汽车等领域需求扩张,消费端增速持续提升。当前铟价处于历史价格分位线43%水平,结合供需基本面变化,上行空间显著,市场对铟价走势预期向好。

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