位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:4/10


据贺利氏贵金属分析师称,伊朗冲突和关税不确定性对黄金形成支撑,但黄金与白银或仍有进一步下跌空间。分析师指出,截至1月底,某标的(结合上下文应为白银)一个月内上涨72%,2025年初以来累计上涨322%;同期黄金分别上涨30%和115%。大幅下跌后,白银在2月收复50%跌幅,黄金收复约70%跌幅。

分析师认为,地缘政治风险虽推高贵金属价格,但海湾地区敌对行动结束后涨势可持续性取决于最终协议。其指出,白银曾多次出现大幅上涨,触顶后往往下跌40%至70%;最近峰值后一周多时间内下跌37%,与以往走势相符。不过,早期类似事件中白银触底常需数月甚至数年,仅2006年为例外——当时白银1个月内下跌35%,为历史上从极端上涨中跌幅最小、速度最快的一次,且正值牛市。

截至发稿,伦敦金现货价格报5370美元/盎司,昨夜一度跌至5260美元/盎司后反弹;白银波动更大,昨夜跌至87美元/盎司后反弹至..

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