节点：中游（冶炼、中间品）位置：中游情绪：中性参考度：2/10
周四沪铝主力合约收于24815元/吨，涨幅1.31%；LME铝价收于3292.5美元/吨，跌幅1.29%。宏观层面，伊朗驳斥封锁霍尔木兹海峡的说法，拒绝与美方谈判；美国上周初请失业金人数为21.3万人，预期21.5万人，前值由21.2万人修正为21.3万人。
铝价核心驱动因素仍集中于地缘政治风险，消息面的反复加剧了盘面的剧烈波动。伊朗先后释放“未封锁霍尔木兹海峡仅处理未通过船只”及海峡通...霍尔木兹海峡的通行状况依然存在不确定性，若冲突持续发酵，铝供应中断的风险并未解除。
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