节点：下游（终端消费/应用）位置：下游情绪：利空参考度：10/10
据媒体援引知情人士消息，全球最大石油出口国沙特阿拉伯已启动石油减产，背景为霍尔木兹海峡近乎封堵、储油罐快速填满。这一举措紧随阿联酋、科威特和伊拉克之后，中东冲突因伊朗航运威胁几乎阻断霍尔木兹海峡海上通行，导致主要产油国出口受阻、油价大幅攀升并冲击全球经济。
沙特日产量约1000万桶，出口约700万桶。沙特阿美正将部分经霍尔木兹海峡出口的原油改道至红海沿岸延布港，但相关管道产能有限，无法完全替代原出口量。目前具体减产油田及幅度尚未明确。
周一欧盘时段，美国原油期货上涨12%至每桶102.28美元，盘中最高触及119美元；国际基准布伦特原油上涨超12%至每桶104.76美元。
尽管特朗普声称冲突“接近胜利”，但缓和迹象仍不明显。报道显示，伊朗专家会议已确定穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊为新任最高领袖，其为已故最高领袖阿...
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