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铜价震荡反弹，主线不明显
上周，国内外铜价呈现震荡收阳态势，尤其在上周五夜盘时段涨幅较为显著。沪铜加权在MA60日均线附近窄幅震荡近一周后，在低仓量情况下，向上再次试探7.9万价位 。尽管铜价短线反弹迅速，但尚未形成明显的运行主线。
从宏观层面来看，美国非农就业数据被下调，上周初请失业金人数超预期，且ISM服务业指数下调，使得美联储9月降息概率增大，美元指数下行，为铜价提供了支撑。同时，特朗普关税政策不确定风险较大，美国股市交投仍以偏好风险为主，贵金属市场在纪录高位波动加剧。
国内方面，消费仍处于淡季，但电力杆线板块相对景气度较高，不过开工率统计仍低于去年同期。未锻轧铜及铜材今年1 – 7月累计进口量降低2.6%至214万吨，以及终端机电类产品抢..
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