节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:5/10


全球金属市场铜价承压加剧,因全球库存攀升,铜价承压的逻辑愈发清晰,分析师对近期铜价高点的可持续性存疑。荷兰国际集团(ING)大宗商品策略师伊娃·曼特近期指出,供应端信号显现,交易所库存上升叠加需求走弱或缓解市场紧张格局。上海期货交易所库存近期创历史新高,伦敦金属交易所库存则逼近17个月高位。这些指标显示铜市供应充裕性提升,分析师预计未来数月铜价承压将加剧。

中国产量增长加剧铜价压力。Earth-i数据显示,2月中国冶炼厂开工率回升,春节后铜产量有所增加。中国铜产量占全球超五成,其产出变动对全球价格趋势影响显著。

库存趋势预示市场再平衡。库存上升..宏观因素共同加剧铜价承压。

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