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华尔街投行高盛研究表明,美国企业至今承担了唐纳德·特朗普关税的大部分成本,不过,这一成本负担正日益向消费者转移。
分析师Jan Hatzius等人在报告中称,截至6月,外国出口商承担约14%的关税成本,未来该比例或升至25%。同时,美国国内企业目前承担了约64%的关税成本,但高盛预计未来其承担份额将降至不到10%。因为部分国内生产商虽受高关税冲击,不少企业却会借此提价以减少损失。
这部分成本必然转嫁到消费者身上。高盛报告指出,截至6月美国消费者消化了约22%的关税成本,若近期关税政策遵循以往征税模式,消费者承担份额将升至67%。
高盛还指出,最终结果将致今年剩余时间通货膨胀率大幅上升。该行预测,12月核心个人消费支出(PCE)同比...
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