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现货小幅去库,铜价震荡运行

昨日,铜价走势呈现日内高位震荡,夜盘价格则低开承压。现货市场维持百元升水状态,社会库存也出现小幅去化。随着铜关税落地,COMEX铜大幅下跌,收敛价差的第一阶段已然完成。

宏观层面来看,美国“硬数据”开始显现松动迹象。其制造业水平降至9个月以来的新低,连续三个月的非农就业数据表现低迷,且前期数据大幅下修。受此影响,市场再度将降息预期定在9月。然而,鲍威尔对于降息的动机尚不明确,使得市场处于博弈状态。在国内,风险偏好展现出较强韧性,反内卷情绪化有所降温,但政策支持预期依然存在。

产业方面,铜的期限结构...

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