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世界贸易组织发布最新贸易预测报告，将2026年全球货物贸易增长预期从4月预测的2.5%下调至1.8% 。报告警告近期关税调整会对全球贸易前景产生负面影响，美国7日生效的高额“对等关税”将在2025年下半年及2026年拖累美国进口、抑制其贸易伙伴出口。
报告预计2025年全球货物贸易将增长0.9%，高于4月预测的负0.2%，但低于更早前基于低关税水平预测的2.7% 。上调原因主要是美国进口商抢在关税上升前囤...宏观经济前景较4月有所改善。
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