节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:6/10


本周,中东冲突持续推高能源价格并降低全球央行降息预期,黄金料创过去六年来最大单周跌幅。多位华尔街分析师警告,当前黄金仍处大幅波动中,短期内或现更多抛售,建议投资者勿贸然抄底。

截至本周五发稿,黄金价格徘徊在每盎司4700美元左右,本周累计跌幅近8%——为2020年3月以来最大跌幅。同期,另一贵金属跌至每盎司72美元附近,周跌幅约10%;钯金、铂金也预计周度下跌。

伊朗冲突引发国际原油、天然气及燃料价格飙升,引发广泛通胀担忧,降低各国央行降息可能性,对黄金构成利空。尽管黄金被视为避险资产,但自上月美以袭击伊朗以来,已连续三周下跌。

核心驱动因素为美国国债收益率和美元上涨:美债收益率上升增加持有黄金(无收益资产)的机会成本,同时与黄金挂钩的E...

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