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铜价继续维系多空相对平衡
隔夜,铜价呈现震荡走高态势。从宏观层面分析,美国7月消费者物价指数(CPI)数据引发市场关注。具体来看,7月CPI同比上涨2.7%,低于市场预期值2.8%,且与上月持平;而核心CPI同比涨幅达到3.1%,高于预期的3.0%,创下自2月份以来的新高。尽管核心CPI超预期,但整体而言,美国通胀压力仍处于可控范围。这一情况反而强化了市场对9月降息的预期,降息达50个基点的概率也在逐步回升。
在基本面方面,美精炼铜不加征关税的背景下,市场对于美铜后市的看法存在一定分歧。美铜超量累ź..反内卷政策预期较为强烈,使得铜价在短时间内大幅深跌的概率不大,反而对价格产生一定的推涨作用。
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