节点：下游（终端消费/应用）位置：下游情绪：中性参考度：2/10
近段美伊冲突中，黄金未随避险情绪上涨，反而大幅下跌并一度进入熊市区域，但分析师乐观情绪未完全消退。华尔街知名经济学家、欧洲太平洋资本CEO兼首席全球策略师彼得·希夫认为，黄金当前抛售重演2008年全球金融危机剧本，预测后续将反弹至11400美元。
黄金今年1月创每盎司5608美元历史新高后大幅回落，截至希夫表述时交易价约4462美元，较峰值跌约27%，但较一年前仍涨近48%。希夫的核心逻辑基于2008年历史对比：2008金融危机初期金价暴跌32%，约占此前牛市涨幅40%，触底后三年飙升178%。
当前金价一度跌至4100美元附近，下跌27%，约占自2000美元以来涨幅40%，与2008年跌幅占比几乎吻合。希夫据此推断，若从低点反弹178%，金价将达11400美元。这一数..
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