节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:5/10


3月26日,四位直接参与定价磋商的业内人士披露,受中东战争引发的供应收紧影响,日本铝买家已同意在202X年4-6月(二季度)支付每吨350-353美元的升水,这一水平为11年来最高。日本作为亚洲主要铝进口国,其每季度与全球生产商议定的较伦敦金属交易所(LME)现货价升水,是亚太地区铝价的核心基准。

对比202X年一季度每吨195美元的铝升水,二季度升水涨幅达79%-81%,实现连续两个季度上涨,且创下2015年4-6月(当时升水达380美元/吨)以来的最高纪录。2月底,全球生产商曾向日本买家报出二季度220-250美元/吨的升水(较本季度增长13%-28%),但随后因美国与以色列2月28日袭击伊朗后,霍尔木兹海峡船货运输风险上升,生产商集体撤回报价。

3月中旬,一家全球铝生产商将升水报价上调至每吨350美元,日本买家随即接受;另一家生ĺ..

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