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宽松预期强化,铜价震荡上行【机构评论】
周二,沪铜主力合约呈现震荡上行态势,伦铜夜盘成功站上9800美元一线。国内铜市场近月合约维持平水结构,当日电解铜现货市场交易活跃,下游开启新一轮补库周期,内贸铜升水至200元/吨。尽管昨日LME库存维持在15.5万吨,但近期LME累库速率有所放缓。
从宏观层面来看,美国7月CPI数据表现为环比上涨0.2%,同比上涨2.7%,均符合市场预期。核心CPI同比上涨3.1%,略高于预期的3%。这主要归因于医疗、机票、娱乐和汽车等分项价格环比上升,其中燃料油和交通运输成本涨幅尤为显著。然而,汽油及食品价格环比走弱,住房成本单月环比上涨0.2%,仍是通胀压力的主要拖累因素。CPI数据公布后,CME观察工具显示9月降息概率仍超90%。此外,特Ɯ..
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