节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:7/10


3月27日(周五),伦敦金属交易所(LME)期铜与期铝价格双双走高,盘中呈现剧烈震荡走势。此前美国总统特朗普宣布,应伊朗政府请求,将对伊朗能源设施的“摧毁”行动推迟10天,期限延至美国东部时间4月6日20时(北京时间4月7日8时),但市场对美伊双方达成协议的可能性仍持怀疑态度。

伦敦时间3月27日17:00(北京时间3月28日01:00),LME三个月期铜收报每吨12195.0美元,较前一交易日上涨48美元,涨幅0.4%;其阻力位位于100日移动均线切入位的12287美元。自2月28日美以对伊冲突爆发以来,铜价已累计下跌9%,该冲突不仅威胁全球经济增长,还进一步助长了通胀预期。

麦格理分析师在研究报告中指出,铜价当前缺乏基本面支撑,预计将持续处于波动状态,主要受宏观经济消息面及资金流向变化影响。尽管伊朗冲突若结束可能推动铜价短期回升,但鉴于2025年初以来全球铜可见库存已积累逾100万吨,且市场预期供应过剩格...

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