节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利空参考度:6/10


乘联会发布数据显示,202X年1-2月国内新能源汽车销量达160.4万辆,同比下降13.7%,累计渗透率为39.9%。乘联会指出,当前新能源市场处于结构性调整期,高端化、智能化趋势显著,但短期受政策调整及消费情绪影响,整体销量出现下滑,需通过产品创新与政策支持双向发力提振市场需求。

动力电池市场方面,1-2月新能源汽车配套电池总装机量累计同比增幅达37.4%,随着新能源汽车渗透率提升,装机量保持增长态势。期间新能源汽车单车平均电池装机量为62.0kWh,同比增长29.2%,小米、比亚迪、特斯拉成为动力电池装机量的主要贡献企业。

电芯外形配套结构上,1-2月方形电芯配套占比达97.8%,圆柱形电芯占比1.9%,软包电芯仅占0.2%。电芯材料配套中,磷酸铁锂电池凭借成本、安全及性能综合优势,叠加政策、市场与储能需求驱动,占比维持高位:乘用车领域配套占比69.1%,客车领域98.9%,货车领域99.1%;三元材料配套占比则分别为29.8%、0.7%、0.7%。

从电芯企业配套情况看,2月新能源汽车动力电池装机量为27.3GWh,同比下降19.2%,装机量TOP10企业依次为宁德时代、弗迪电池、中创新航、国轩高科、亿纬锂能、蜂巢能源、LG、瑞浦兰钧、吉曜通行、欣旺达。其中前三企业装机量市场份额合计达76.5%,前十企业占比95.8%,行业头部集中特征明显。

宁德时代以52.7%的份额稳居行业第一,持续巩固龙头...

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