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博鳌亚洲论坛2026年年会于中国海南博鳌举行，3月24日“关税战冲击下的全球贸易新格局”分论坛上，与会嘉宾指出关税战对全球贸易体系影响深刻，带来不确定性加剧等挑战，加强多边合作是应对风险的重要路径。新加坡前副总理黄根成认为，关税战不确定性构成全球发展障碍，或引发更多摩擦，其影响集中于三方面：一是贸易可预测性下降，各国需重新评估贸易伙伴关系与地缘风险；二是供应链重构，各国倾向降低外部依赖；三是技术标准与监管政策差异加剧经济不确定性。
匈牙利国家银行副行长丹尼尔·保洛陶伊指出，关税战不确定性对全球经济潜能、劳动力市场造成长期损害，发达国家受影响更显著。世界贸易组织前首席经济学家罗伯特·库普曼表示，关税战背景下部分贸易工具“初衷即缺乏可预测性”，损害经济长期发展确定性，且美ś..
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