节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:10/10


历经长时间深度调整,锂0005;隔膜行业正迎来关键转折点,价格中枢从底部稳步抬升,新一轮景气周期曙光初现。2026年4月初主流隔膜报价显示,5μm基膜均价1.41元/㎡,5μm(5μ+2μ)复合隔膜均价1.71元/㎡,7μm(7μ+2μ)均价1.17元/㎡,9μm(9μ+3μ)均价1.15元/㎡;而2025年初湿法隔膜均价曾徘徊在1元/㎡以下低位。从价差结构看,5μm超薄隔膜与常规7μm、9μm产品价差进一步拉大,凸显高端化趋势及技术壁垒带来的溢价能力。

隔膜价格回升核心驱动为新能源终端需求爆发。储能行业延续高速增长,新增大电芯产线投产推动头部电芯企业排产高位,隔膜采购需求攀升;动力电池领域同步进入生产旺季,双重需求共振支撑行业高景气度。

2025年是隔膜行业底部之年,前期产能扩张导致价格跌破成本线,头部企业仅维持微利,扩产意愿显著减弱。自2025年第三季度起,伴随锂电下游需求高速增长、供需格局优化,厂商盈利能力显著恢复,全年利润转正。恩捷股份预计2025年归母净利润1.09亿-1.64亿元(扭亏为盈),第四季度环比大增3185%;2025年出货量约120亿㎡(同比增36%),市占率约35%,2026年有望超140亿㎡。

中材科技2025年实现营收302亿元(同比增26%)、归母净利润18.2亿元(同比增104%);旗下中材锂膜隔膜销量33亿㎡(同比增75%)。2025年四季度起隔膜售价企稳,5μm超薄基膜、点涂隔膜量产Ź..

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