节点：下游（终端消费/应用）位置：下游情绪：中性参考度：2/10
美国密歇根大学近期消费者信心指数跌至历史低位，主要受伊朗冲突引发的通胀担忧驱动。4月初步消费者信心指数从3月的53.3大幅下滑至47.6，低于市场普遍预期的51.5，调查覆盖3月24日至4月7日，结果几乎超出所有经济学家预测区间（仅略高于其中一项）。
通胀预期方面，消费者对未来一年价格涨幅预期从3月的3.8%跃升至4.8%，创特朗普宣布全面关税以来最大单月涨幅，高于市场预期的4.2%；未来5-10年通胀预期为3.4%，与预期持平且略高于上月的3.2%。
当前美国汽油价格已突破每加仑4美元，创2022年以来新高，可能促使消费者压缩可自由支配支出。在就业前景趋紧、居民已对高生活成本焦虑的背景下，购买力下降或拖累经济增ɕ..
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