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《技术面压力较强 镍价回调》
周三，镍价呈现震荡偏弱运行态势。从宏观层面来看，贝森特预测美联储或步入降息周期，9月会议降息幅度可能达50bp ，且在本轮降息周期内，联邦基准利率预计下调150 – 175个基点。市场交易结果显示，9月降息概率高达93.8%，直至2026年12月，市场对美联储每次会议均持降息预期。同时，特朗普提前任命的美联储主席人选范围大幅缩小，联储内部官员意见逐渐分化，未来联储货币政策决议或更倾向白宫。
降息预期推动镍价升至区间高位，但镍市场基本面偏弱的现..不锈钢消费持续低迷。虽然短期镍铁产线更迭对价格有修正作用，但前景依旧不容乐观。
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