节点：下游（终端消费/应用）位置：下游情绪：利好参考度：8/10
国际货币基金组织（IMF）4月14日发布最新一期世界经济展望报告，将2024年世界经济增长预期下调0.2个百分点至3.1%，下调主因是中东战事冲击，但部分负面影响被近期强劲经济数据及关税税率下调抵消。
报告假设中东战事于今年年中消退，2024年全球经济增速预计3.1%（较1月预测值下调0.2个百分点），全球通胀率将升至4.4%（较2023年上升0.3个百分点，原文或笔误）；若战事及高油价持续更长时间，2024年全球增速将降至2.5%，通胀攀升至5.4%；极端情况下增速恐降至2%。
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