位置:中游情绪:中性参考度:1/10


富国银行证券(Wells Fargo Securities)对黄金的乐观情景预测显示,上月回调后,金价有望飙升至每盎司8000美元。今年2月28日美伊战争爆发前,黄金曾是年度热门市场动能品种,但战争后出现下跌,3月黄金期货价格下跌近11%,创2013年6月以来最大单月跌幅。

该行指出,“贬值交易”——全球各国央行抛售美元等法定货币、增持中性避险资产的行为,或推动贵金属价格上行。富国银行证券首席股票策略师吴升(Ohsung Kwon)表示,当前处于2022年启动的第四轮货币贬值周期,近期金价回调后已更接近模型给出的每盎司4500美元公允价值。

吴升称,三个驱动因素均指向货币贬值从当前水平进一步深...2027年金价或升至每盎司8000美元,现货及期货最新价格约4800美元/盎司,意味着还有超66%上涨空间;悲观情景下,2027年底金价或跌至4000美元/盎司,较当前水平下跌约17%。

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