节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:4/10


德国4月通胀数据低于预期,0026;欧洲央行暂缓加息提供了空间。中东局势的不确定性则使欧央行本周政策信号的明确性面临挑战。4月29日,德国联邦统计局数据显示,4月消费者价格同比上涨2.9%,高于3月的2.8%,但低于彭博调查预测中位值3.1%。地区数据显示,度假套餐价格下跌一定程度上抵消了燃油和供暖成本的上涨压力,令市场对欧央行本周即宣布加息的预期进一步降温

与德国的温和表现形成鲜明对比,西班牙4月通胀率意外攀升至3.5%,超出市场预期。欧元区内部各国通胀数据的分化,使得欧央行本周政策会议的决策环境更为复杂。市场与经济学家普遍预计,欧央行或将在6月而非本次会议实施25个基点的加息。

欧央行首席经济学家Philip Lane指出,官员本周可能尚无法厘清当前冲击的持续时间与严重程度,..

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