节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利好参考度:8/10


北美汽车整车厂商正面临利润率压力加剧的局面,原材料价格波动对钢铁、铝及电池材料的成本结构造成冲击。在美墨加协定(USMCA)及通胀削减法案(IRA)等政策推动下,供应链格局发生调整,制造商需应对输入成本上升、区域价格分化及大宗商品相关风险敞口扩大等挑战。

电动化转型加大了对关键电池材料的依赖,包括锂、镍、及石墨。低碳钢铁与铝的需求亦同步增长,使采购策略更趋复杂。贸易政策与脱碳措施加剧成本压力,美国关税及IRA激励政策构成主要驱动因素。碳定价等全球机制亦重塑成本动态,导致区域价格差异常态化。

供应链回流及本地化旨在降低进口依赖,但同时带来供应受限、区域溢价及国内政策变动风险敞口扩大等新挑战。北美钢铁市场区域价差持续扩大,关税政策支撑本土生产商维持高位定价。基础设施、能源及制造业需求增长推动出货量上升,而供应受限进一步推高成本。

铝市场呈现类似态势,尤其是满足可持续发展目标...

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