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世界贸易组织8日发布最新一期贸易预测报告，将2026年全球货物贸易增长预期从4月预测的2.5%下调至1.8% 。报告警告，近期关税调整将对全球贸易前景产生负面影响。美国7日生效的高额“对等关税”将在2025年下半年及2026年拖累美国进口、抑制美国贸易伙伴出口。
报告预计，2025年全球货物贸易将增长0.9% ，高于4月预测的负0.2% ，但仍低于更早前基于低关税水平预测的2.7% 。较4月预测上调主要因美国进口商抢在关税上..宏观经济前景与4月相比有所改善。
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