节点：铁矿石位置：上游情绪：利好参考度：8/10


第27周钢市情况如下：

期货黑色系收盘重心上移，多空博弈升温。成材端受唐山限产刺激，螺纹收盘刷新近2月高点，热卷高位持仓增仓；原料端焦煤、铁矿石上涨。现货市场焦炭、废钢持稳，铁矿石、焦煤震荡上涨，推动铁水成本上升，铁水产量回落，钢市呈现“供需同步上升，库存延续不变”格局，钢厂利润上扬。

铁水税前成本均价1991元/吨，环比升11元/吨。日均产量240.85万吨，环比降1.44万吨，较去年同期持平。高炉开工率83.462%，环比降0.36%。

钢坯成本均价2698元/吨，环比升11元/吨；出厂均价2922元/吨，环比升8元/吨，盘面利润224元/吨，利润高位回落。日均外卖4.44万吨，环比降0.3万吨，总库存138万吨，环比增8.18万吨，连续3周累库。

螺纹现货均价3092元/吨，环比升36元/吨；期螺主力合约收盘均价3042元/吨，环比升59元/吨，期货涨幅超现货，基差升水收窄。主力合约成交、持仓均值增加，收盘价格..

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