节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:中性参考度:2/10
霍尔木兹海峡货运中断引发中国4月能源进口显著下滑,原油、天然气进口量同比分别下降约20%和13%,成品油出口量同比暴跌约38%至近十年最低;与之形成对比,大豆进口量同比大涨近40%,铝出口量创17个月新高,部分大宗商品呈现价量背离特征。
海关总署数据显示,4月原油进口量同比下降约20%至3847万吨,为2022年7月以来最低水平;天然气进口量同比下降约13%至842万吨。中东通常占中国原油进口来源的约一半,并提供近三分之一的液化天然气,此次货运中断直接冲击上游供应,传导至下游炼化环节。
4月成品油出口量同比暴跌约38%至312万吨,为近十年最低,主要因能源供应收紧后,国内优先保障消费需求。液化天然气方面,据大宗商品分析机构Kpler船舶追踪数据,4月中国LNG采购量降至八年低点,海运端萎缩显著。天然气短缺本应推升煤炭替代需求,但4月煤炭进口量同比亦下降约13%至3308万吨,为去年6月以来最低,主因进口煤价格高企,转向国内产能消化缺口。
与能源进口全面萎缩形成对比,4月大豆进口量同比大涨近40%至848万吨,美国货物与巴西季节性供应共同提振。农产品进口中,大豆成为主要增长品类,1-4月累计进口2515万吨..
The complete content requires login
You can view the full content after logging in. If you don't have an account, please register first.
This Website publishes publicly available information that SMMNN deems reliable, but makes no warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. The information provided by SMMNN is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice to any entity. Members of the Website shall not replace their own independent judgment with such information.