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下游减产放缓 镍价反弹回落【机构评论】
近期镍与不锈钢市场呈现出特定的行情走势与产业逻辑。
行情回顾:镍价经历反弹后回落,而不锈钢市场也处于承压态势。这种价格波动反映了市场供需及其他因素的综合影响。
产业逻辑 – 镍:从宏观层面看,海外宏观环境趋缓。在产业领域,东南亚菲律宾镍矿价格表现疲弱。NPI冶炼厂面临成本倒挂困境,持续处于亏损状态,这使得冶炼厂高价接货的意愿极为有限。7月,中国精炼镍产量环比增长3%,企业开工率约达61%。进入8月,国内纯镍社会库存约为3.94万吨,库存虽有小幅回落,但从远期视角分析,仍面临一定压力 ,这显示出镍市场供应端存在潜在变动因素。
产业逻辑 – 不锈钢:不锈钢减产力度逐渐减弱,前期减产促使 ..
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镍价反弹后回落,市场供需影响大,但全球贸易政策变化会否带来更大风险?不锈钢市场又能否承受淡季压力?真是让人疑问重重。