节点:下游(终端消费/应用)位置:下游情绪:利好参考度:6/10
长江有色金属网2026年5月8日数据显示,国内钨粉市场延续回调态势,当日均价报1,857,500元/吨,价格区间1,840,000-1,875,000元/吨,较前一交易日下跌20,000元,日跌幅约1.07%。
供给端呈现长期刚性收缩与短期抛压释放的复杂格局。长期看,中国作为全球最大钨资源国与供应国,开采总量控制指标连续多年下调,主产区环保安全监管常态化导致中小矿山关停,行业开工率偏低,高品位资源枯竭推升开采成本;海外新矿投产周期长,当年新增产量有限,无法弥补全球供需缺口。短期则因前期价格暴涨积累利润,部分持货商与贸易商集中出货锁定收益,甚至恐慌性抛售,现货流通量增加,叠加废钨回收资源增多,冲击原生钨粉定价体系。
需求侧存在长期增长引擎与短期采购情绪的背离。长期需求结构重塑,传统硬质合金领域(占比约六成)需求稳健,新兴赛道增长明确:光伏钨丝渗透率突破较高水平,新增需求占全球总需求相当比例;半导体先进制程对高纯钨需求激增,地缘政治推升军工战略性需求。短期下游企业难以承受高价,普遍采取按需采购、降低库存策略,散单成ĺ..
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